Stonk Research
2.2 2023
2.2.1 September 2023
Buying stocks a bit before dividend days, gear energy and ntr, consider buying both before dividend days or after.
For claude.ai and other llm,
Analysis of news headlines
Given the news headlines for
Nuvei launches the new iDeal in the Netherlands and
Ecommerce platform Ubuy selects Nuvei to accelerate its international growth Give one bullish argument for nvei, one neutral analysis for nvei and one negative argument for nvei.
Can do it for financials as well, split into positive negative and neutral.
Looked at canfor, there is enough cash to last about 1.5 years before they dilute or need to borrow more, think the price of lumber will support less of a loss, but 1.5 years is reasonable and 2 years would be generous 1 year if the market completely tanks. But I think lumber prices will increase. Think I wait until the economy is better before buying lumber.
2.2.2 August 2023
For my new stonk strategy, trying to buy stocks that hit 52 weeks low, need more information to funnel and ”analyze”.
So use stonk reports project with github actions to make it super easy to pull information on a stonk. Cant compete tracking news flow and yahoo finance might be missing details.
Thinking of building rust or C# project that has a UI and pulls news and generating queries.
Thinking I need to work on the tnt.to (reit %11.8 or %11.7), if there is a downturn, bet no one can handle tough times and they start lowering rates, a dividend already cut by 50% makes it unlikely to get cut again.
neo.to and wef (wait until 0.70 cents), neo.to looks stronger, with growth and revenue probably in usd.
2.2.3 July 2023
airboss of america, decent dividend seems sustainable enough to me.
Best case, current dividend yield of 0.40 stays,
Bad case, dividend gets cut to 0.07 and yields about 5.5% at current levels.
According to claude $3.35 is a very safe number.
2.2.4 May 2023
primaris real estate investment, want price around $8 cad, likely recession, think this company can survive.
bto gold company, q1 earnings higher than expected, q2 gold prices should be higher and as a result the company should earn about 0.10 cents a share (USD) or 0.11 (USD).
Like any mining company the mines depreciate or produce less ore over time.
4 billion in shareholder equity, stock price around 7 billion, gold prices appreciation due to financial crisis and lack of fate in the dollar, sell at 10 dollars maybe or 12 dollars?
Pulse Seismic Inc. , decent company that contains geographic data for mining, as they build their data catalogue, it can be used for lithium mining, helium and not just oil and gas.
Wait until q2 earnings see if there is a slowdown and/or q3, think companies may cut licensing if drilling goes down.
2.2.5 April 2023
For scams like frc and bbby, its so important to see what insiders are doing. Mass sales are no good.
de dollarization, think gold is a good transition item to buy into, mass purchase bto.to, up to 10k.
Dollar’s reserve currency status has fallen precipitously: Jen Greenback represents 58% of reserves, down from 73% in 2001
FRC, hold think the bad news is priced in
Smart center think $23 is a gdecent deal $13.80
NWH.UN
try to buy around $5.8
Expected bond yields are going to hit 5.1% xlb.to should get me about that amount, see if inflation is higher than expected, start loading bonds at a 5% yield.
As for stonks, hold on to vux and heli.v, neo.to is also strong, can look to add smart center to rrsp or tsfa as rental rates.
plan for rrsp contribution is 2k a month until maxed.
https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/quote/BRE.TO/
Most of their revenue is fixed, dividend rate is 10%
- value play (deep shareholder value), not really a value play, just a dividend play - paid the dividend even in 2008 due to housing downturn - dont expect serious downturn, worse case people have to liquidate their houses with higher interest rates, keeping realtors employed - 11% dividend yield and I can consider the stonk. - price target $12.5 can start position there, see how bad the recession is. Wait for at least one more earnings report. Interest expense is manageable did some light calculations.
Bought into wal at around $ 29 seems like a decent price. With the unlimited fed support this bank should be fine.